2026 edition · Top 80

    Machine learning foundations

    Learning theory, statistics, optimisation and probabilistic modelling: the ideas the rest of the field stands on.

    Learning theory & classic ML: 38 · Probabilistic ML: 34 · N = 80, scaled from 194 candidates.

    0 of 80 of this page's 80 read · saved in this browser only

    1. 1
      Probabilistic ML1977

      Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data Via the EM Algorithm

      Arthur P. Dempster · 50,453 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    2. 2
      Learning theory & classic ML1995

      Support-Vector Networks

      Corinna Cortes · 59,389 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    3. 3
      Learning theory & classic ML2001

      Random Forests

      Leo Breiman · 132,914 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    4. 4
      Probabilistic ML1953

      Equation of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines

      Nicholas Metropolis · 37,189 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    5. 5
      Probabilistic ML2002 · published 2003

      Latent Dirichlet Allocation

      David M. Blei · 32,337 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    6. 6
      Learning theory & classic ML1997

      A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting

      Yoav Freund · 20,464 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    7. 7
      Probabilistic ML1970

      Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications

      W. K. Hastings · 15,193 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    8. 8
      Learning theory & classic ML1967

      Nearest Neighbor Pattern Classification

      Thomas Cover · 16,919 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    9. 9
      Learning theory & classic ML1986

      Induction of decision trees

      J. Ross Quinlan · 21,357 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's noteClassic quota
    10. 10
      Learning theory & classic ML1992

      A Training Algorithm for Optimal Margin Classifiers

      Bernhard Boser · 11,991 citations · OpenAlex

    11. 11
      Learning theory & classic ML1984

      A Theory of the Learnable

      Leslie G. Valiant · 4,209 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's noteClassic quota
    12. 12
      Probabilistic ML1984

      Stochastic Relaxation, Gibbs Distributions, and the Bayesian Restoration of Images

      Stuart Geman · 17,953 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's noteClassic quota
    13. 13
      Learning theory & classic ML2016 · published 2017

      Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization

      Chiyuan Zhang · 5,332 citations · Papers With Code

      Editor's note
    14. 14
      Learning theory & classic ML2002

      Finite-time Analysis of the Multiarmed Bandit Problem

      Peter Auer · 5,983 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    15. 15
      Learning theory & classic ML1990

      The Strength of Weak Learnability

      Robert E. Schapire · 3,427 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    16. 16
      Learning theory & classic ML1996

      Bagging Predictors

      Leo Breiman · 17,788 citations · OpenAlex

    17. 17
      Learning theory & classic ML1948

      A Mathematical Theory of Communication

      Claude E. Shannon · 88,464 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    18. 18
      Learning theory & classic ML1992

      Neural Networks and the Bias/Variance Dilemma

      Stuart Geman · 3,580 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    19. 19
      Probabilistic ML2012 · published 2013

      Stochastic Variational Inference

      Matthew D. Hoffman · 3,162 citations · Semantic Scholar

    20. 20
      Learning theory & classic ML2001

      Greedy Function Approximation: A Gradient Boosting Machine

      Jerome Friedman · 30,481 citations · OpenAlex

    21. 21
      Learning theory & classic ML2007

      Random Features for Large-Scale Kernel Machines

      Ali Rahimi · 5,335 citations · Semantic Scholar

      Award
    22. 22
      Probabilistic ML1960

      A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems

      Rudolf E. Kalman · 31,615 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    23. 23
      Probabilistic ML1995

      Causal diagrams for empirical research

      Judea Pearl · 2,338 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    24. 24
      Probabilistic ML2015 · published 2016

      Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning

      Yarin Gal · 13,239 citations · Papers With Code

    25. 25
      Learning theory & classic ML1996

      Regression Shrinkage and Selection Via the Lasso

      Robert Tibshirani · 51,469 citations · OpenAlex

    26. 26
      Probabilistic ML2016 · published 2017

      Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles

      Lakshminarayanan · 9,036 citations · Semantic Scholar

    27. 27
      Probabilistic ML1983

      The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects

      Paul R. Rosenbaum · 31,083 citations · OpenAlex

    28. 28
      Learning theory & classic ML1971

      On the Uniform Convergence of Relative Frequencies of Events to Their Probabilities

      Vladimir Vapnik · 2,447 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    29. 29
      2025

      DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale

      Qiying Yu · 2,948 citations · Papers With Code

    30. 30
      Probabilistic ML2017

      Stan: A Probabilistic Programming Language

      Bob Carpenter · 7,749 citations · OpenAlex

    31. 31
      Probabilistic ML2011 · published 2014

      The No-U-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path Lengths in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

      Matthew D. Hoffman · 5,607 citations · Semantic Scholar

    32. 32
      Probabilistic ML2006

      Hierarchical Dirichlet Processes

      Yee Whye Teh · 3,476 citations · OpenAlex

    33. 33
      2025

      Wan: Open and Advanced Large-Scale Video Generative Models

      Team Wan · 2,890 citations · Papers With Code

    34. 34
      Probabilistic ML1978

      Estimating the Dimension of a Model

      Gideon Schwarz · 47,032 citations · OpenAlex

    35. 35
      Probabilistic ML2001

      Factor Graphs and the Sum-Product Algorithm

      Frank R. Kschischang · 6,486 citations · OpenAlex

    36. 36
      Learning theory & classic ML1989

      Learnability and the Vapnik-Chervonenkis Dimension

      Anselm Blumer · 1,820 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    37. 37
      Learning theory & classic ML2001

      Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures

      Leo Breiman · 4,336 citations · OpenAlex

    38. 38
      2024

      CogVideoX: Text-to-Video Diffusion Models with An Expert Transformer

      Zhuoyi Yang · 2,551 citations · Papers With Code

    39. 39
      Probabilistic ML1988

      Local Computations with Probabilities on Graphical Structures and Their Application to Expert Systems

      Steffen L. Lauritzen · 3,907 citations · OpenAlex

    40. 40
      Learning theory & classic ML1994

      The Weighted Majority Algorithm

      Nick Littlestone · 1,968 citations · OpenAlex

    41. 41
      Probabilistic ML1987

      Hybrid Monte Carlo

      Simon Duane · 4,026 citations · Semantic Scholar

    42. 42
      Learning theory & classic ML1998 · published 2000

      Additive Logistic Regression: A Statistical View of Boosting

      Jerome Friedman · 6,885 citations · OpenAlex

    43. 43
      Learning theory & classic ML1992

      Stacked Generalization

      David Wolpert · 7,946 citations · OpenAlex

    44. 44
      Probabilistic ML2015

      Weight Uncertainty in Neural Network

      Charles Blundell · 2,326 citations · Semantic Scholar

    45. 45
      2023

      WebArena: A Realistic Web Environment for Building Autonomous Agents

      Shuyan Zhou · 2,302 citations · Papers With Code

    46. 46
      Probabilistic ML2012

      Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective

      Murphy · 9,062 citations · OpenAlex

    47. 47
      Probabilistic ML1992

      A Practical Bayesian Framework for Backpropagation Networks

      MacKay · 2,917 citations · OpenAlex

    48. 48
      Learning theory & classic ML2017 · published 2018

      CatBoost: unbiased boosting with categorical features

      7,236 citations · Semantic Scholar

    49. 49
      Learning theory & classic ML2005

      Regularization and Variable Selection Via the Elastic Net

      20,945 citations · OpenAlex

    50. 50
      Probabilistic ML2014

      Stochastic Backpropagation and Approximate Inference in Deep Generative Models

      Danilo Jimenez Rezende · 6,329 citations · Semantic Scholar

    51. 51
      Learning theory & classic ML1997

      No Free Lunch Theorems for Optimization

      14,558 citations · Semantic Scholar

    52. 52
      2025

      LLMs Get Lost In Multi-Turn Conversation

      Philippe Laban · 527 citations · Papers With Code

    53. 53
      Learning theory & classic ML1998

      Nonlinear Component Analysis as a Kernel Eigenvalue Problem

      Bernhard Schölkopf · 8,092 citations · OpenAlex

    54. 54
      Learning theory & classic ML1974

      Cross-Validatory Choice and Assessment of Statistical Predictions

      M. Stone · 10,829 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    55. 55
      Probabilistic ML2003

      Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms

      11,174 citations · Semantic Scholar

    56. 56
      Learning theory & classic ML2001 · published 2002

      Rademacher and Gaussian Complexities: Risk Bounds and Structural Results

      Peter Bartlett · 3,399 citations · Semantic Scholar

    57. 57
      Learning theory & classic ML1979

      Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife

      17,594 citations · OpenAlex

    58. 58
      Learning theory & classic ML2006

      Extremely randomized trees

      9,286 citations · OpenAlex

    59. 59
      Probabilistic ML2016

      Probabilistic programming in Python using PyMC3

      John Salvatier · 2,527 citations · OpenAlex

    60. 60
      Probabilistic ML1990

      Sampling-Based Approaches to Calculating Marginal Densities

      Alan E. Gelfand · 6,606 citations · OpenAlex

    61. 61
      Probabilistic ML2011

      MCMC using Hamiltonian dynamics

      Neal · 2,580 citations · OpenAlex

    62. 62
      Probabilistic ML2021

      A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification

      Angelopoulos · 1,383 citations · Papers With Code

    63. 63
      Learning theory & classic ML1998

      The Random Subspace Method for Constructing Decision Forests

      7,130 citations · Semantic Scholar

    64. 64
      Learning theory & classic ML2018 · published 2019

      On the Spectral Bias of Neural Networks

      Nasim Rahaman · 2,853 citations · Semantic Scholar

    65. 65
      Probabilistic ML2004

      Finding scientific topics

      Thomas L. Griffiths · 6,047 citations · OpenAlex

    66. 66
      2024

      The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning

      Nathaniel Li · 589 citations · Papers With Code

    67. 67
      Probabilistic ML2011

      Bayesian Learning via Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics

      Max Welling · 3,441 citations · Semantic Scholar

    68. 68
      Probabilistic ML1992

      Bayesian Interpolation

      David J. C. MacKay · 4,443 citations · OpenAlex

    69. 69
      Probabilistic ML2017

      A Conceptual Introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

      Betancourt · 1,517 citations · Papers With Code

    70. 70
      Learning theory & classic ML2019

      Deep Double Descent: Where Bigger Models and More Data Hurt

      Preetum Nakkiran · 1,213 citations · Papers With Code

    71. 71
    72. 72
      Probabilistic ML1957

      Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics

      Edwin T. Jaynes · 12,938 citations · OpenAlex

    73. 73
      Learning theory & classic ML1991

      Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines

      8,109 citations · OpenAlex

    74. 74
      Probabilistic ML1995

      Learning Bayesian Networks: The Combination of Knowledge and Statistical Data

      Heckerman · 3,252 citations · OpenAlex

    75. 75
      Probabilistic ML1974

      Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies

      Donald B. Rubin · 9,369 citations · OpenAlex

    76. 76
      Learning theory & classic ML1985

      Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Allocation Rules

      T. L. Lai · 2,406 citations · OpenAlex

    77. 77
      Learning theory & classic ML1951

      On Information and Sufficiency

      Solomon Kullback · 20,191 citations · OpenAlex

    78. 78
      Learning theory & classic ML1970

      Ridge Regression: Biased Estimation for Nonorthogonal Problems

      13,710 citations · Crossref

    79. 79
      Learning theory & classic ML2003

      Online Convex Programming and Generalized Infinitesimal Gradient Ascent

      Martin Zinkevich · 2,914 citations · Semantic Scholar

    80. 80
      2024

      AgentHarm: A Benchmark for Measuring Harmfulness of LLM Agents

      Maksym Andriushchenko · 508 citations · Papers With Code

    Ranked on another page

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    Top 500 papers ranked on another domain page that matter here too.

    1. Generative models2013 · published 2014

      Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes

      Diederik P. Kingma · 20,065 citations · OpenAlex

      AwardEditor's note
    2. Deep learning1958

      The perceptron: A probabilistic model for information storage and organization in the brain

      Frank Rosenblatt · 12,279 citations · OpenAlex

      Editor's note
    3. Deep learning2016

      XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System

      Tianqi Chen · 63,958 citations · Papers With Code

    4. Generative models2015

      Variational Inference with Normalizing Flows

      Danilo Jimenez Rezende · 5,182 citations · Papers With Code

      Award
    5. Deep learning2018 · published 2019

      The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis: Finding Sparse, Trainable Neural Networks

      Jonathan Frankle · 4,519 citations · Papers With Code

    6. Deep learning2018

      Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networks

      Arthur Jacot · 4,360 citations · Papers With Code

    Data sources

    Catalogue data from OpenAlex (CC0), Crossref (CC0 metadata; no abstracts are shown), arXiv, and Papers With Code (CC BY-SA 4.0), and Semantic Scholar logoSemantic Scholar (used under its non-commercial API licence). Each count names its source. See the method.