Language, speech & LLMs· 2020
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models
Straight lines on log–log axes.
On the reading lists
- #70 in the Top 500 (2026 edition)
- #55 of 100 papers to read in your lifetime (2026 edition)
- #11 in Language, speech & LLMs (2026 edition)
Why it matters
Quantified predictable power-law relationships between model size, data, compute, and performance.
Condensed from the expert lists' notes.
Inside the paper
- The problem
- Training larger language models requires choices about model size, data and computation before the final loss is known. The authors study whether experiments at smaller scales can inform those choices.
- The idea
- Measure held-out language-model loss across systematic changes in resources, then fit simple relationships to the observed trends. The analysis also considers how to allocate a fixed training budget.
- How it works
- The experiments train Transformer language models of different sizes and evaluate prediction loss on held-out text.
- They vary the amount of training data and compute, while investigating how architectural shape affects loss at a given parameter count.
- Fitted curves relate loss to model size, data and computation, and expose the extra loss associated with overfitting.
- The authors compare model sizes along training curves to estimate which allocation of a compute budget yields the lowest loss.
- What it showed
- Across the studied range, loss follows approximate power-law trends and depends more strongly on scale than on many shape choices. The compute analysis suggests training larger models for fewer steps than needed to reach their minimum loss.
- Read it for
- Start with Figures 1–2 and Section 1.2 for the claims, then read Sections 3 and 6 to see how they are measured. The derivations in the appendices can wait.
Written in our own words from the paper itself. A draft the editors have not yet reviewed.
Reading it
Difficulty: Introductory
Read this first: the Transformer (Attention Is All You Need); log-log plots.
The record
- First released
- 2020 (from arXiv 2001.08361)
- Citations
- 9,325 citations, as counted by Papers With Code (CC BY-SA 4.0)
- Named by
- both expert lists
- Also relevant to
- Deep learning
- Score
- 0.702 · computed rank 70 · consensus 0.94, must-read 1, citations percentile 0.771 (2020s · language), awards 0, existing lists 0.5. Method
Editor's notes
- Readability check: pass: Short findings section with lasting influence on how models are built. (AI draft (Claude), not yet reviewed, 2026-10-29)
Data sources
Catalogue data from OpenAlex (CC0), Crossref (CC0 metadata; no abstracts are shown), arXiv, and Papers With Code (CC BY-SA 4.0). Each count names its source. See the method.